Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000890 1.025648e-03 0.001163 0.001313 0.001470 0.001630 0.001805
2025-07-27 0.000714 9.095284e-04 0.001116 0.001347 0.001596 0.001855 0.002143
2025-08-03 0.000545 7.787875e-04 0.001035 0.001331 0.001659 0.002005 0.002397
2025-08-10 0.000372 6.208356e-04 0.000909 0.001253 0.001643 0.002064 0.002547
2025-08-17 0.000259 5.166469e-04 0.000832 0.001221 0.001672 0.002166 0.002740
2025-08-24 0.000149 3.964832e-04 0.000723 0.001142 0.001640 0.002196 0.002848
2025-08-31 0.000090 3.303979e-04 0.000672 0.001127 0.001678 0.002299 0.003036
2025-09-07 0.000055 2.897369e-04 0.000650 0.001142 0.001748 0.002438 0.003261
2025-09-14 0.000020 2.293977e-04 0.000593 0.001109 0.001757 0.002504 0.003401
2025-09-21 0.000006 2.031009e-04 0.000580 0.001131 0.001831 0.002644 0.003624
2025-09-28 0.000002 1.951156e-04 0.000594 0.001187 0.001945 0.002828 0.003897
2025-10-05 NaN 1.554883e-04 0.000554 0.001167 0.001963 0.002900 0.004039
2025-10-12 NaN 9.671174e-05 0.000480 0.001114 0.001960 0.002968 0.004206
2025-10-19 NaN 7.526712e-05 0.000469 0.001148 0.002067 0.003171 0.004532
2025-10-26 NaN 4.439898e-05 0.000428 0.001135 0.002114 0.003303 0.004777
2025-11-02 NaN 1.144739e-05 0.000351 0.001063 0.002081 0.003336 0.004905
2025-11-09 NaN 4.188352e-07 0.000306 0.001034 0.002102 0.003432 0.005107
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000240 0.000961 0.002059 0.003449 0.005213
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000211 0.000947 0.002096 0.003561 0.005431
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000199 0.000961 0.002170 0.003720 0.005704
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000166 0.000931 0.002179 0.003796 0.005876
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000159 0.000951 0.002260 0.003963 0.006157
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000166 0.001003 0.002385 0.004185 0.006503